Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 29.28% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.88%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.64% ( -5.29) | 25.08% ( 0.38) | 29.28% ( 4.91) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( 2.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.82% ( 1.85) | 48.18% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.66% ( 1.67) | 70.34% ( -1.67) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% ( -1.49) | 21.14% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.01% ( -2.37) | 53.99% ( 2.38) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% ( 4.86) | 30.29% ( -4.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.54% ( 5.44) | 66.47% ( -5.44) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -1.28) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -1.41) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.96) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.46) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.96) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.79) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.5) Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 37 |
2 | Real Madrid | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
12 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |