Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 41.14% ( | 25.87% ( | 32.99% |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( | 50.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( | 72.08% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( | 24.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% ( | 58.4% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( | 28.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( | 64.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.99% |