Copa del Rey | Second Round

Dec 4, 2024 at 6pm UK

Pistas del Helmantico

Unionistas
2 - 3
Rayo Vallecano

Gomez (15'), Baz Bergara (19')
Arriba (43'), Verges (45+4'), Gonzalez Zambrano (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Trejo (36'), Diaz (54'), Embarba (84')
Espino (46'), Trejo (52'), Guardiola (56'), Embarba (78')
Ciss (90+7')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Unionistas and Rayo Vallecano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Unionistas

Last Game: Utebo 0-4 Unionistas
Wednesday, October 30 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Unionistas had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Unionistas win it was 1-0 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Unionistas	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
21.94% ( -0.28)	27.61% ( -0.06)	50.45% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 41.6% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.57% (

-0.04)

62.42% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.95% (

-0.03)

82.05% (

0.03)

Unionistas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.51% (

-0.31)

44.49% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.48% (

-0.26)

80.52% (

0.25)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.14)

25.05% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

0.19)

59.73% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Unionistas 21.94%

Rayo Vallecano 50.43%

Draw 27.6%

Unionistas	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.94%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 15.42% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 50.43%