Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Urbieta

Gernika
0 - 2
Unionistas


Larrauri (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Losada (70'), Planas (73')
Ruiz (68'), Gomez (83')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Gernika Club and Unionistas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gernika Club

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Last Game: Gernika 0-3 Celta Vigo
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Unionistas

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Last Game: Unionistas 1-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gernika Club win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Unionistas had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gernika Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Unionistas win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Gernika ClubDrawUnionistas
52.02% (0.012 0.01)26.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)21.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (0.020999999999994 0.02)59.4% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.78% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Gernika Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Unionistas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)43.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gernika Club 52.02%
    Unionistas 21.45%
    Draw 26.53%
Gernika ClubDrawUnionistas
1-0 @ 14.62%
2-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.05%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.45%