Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 34.04% ( | 27.26% ( | 38.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( | 55.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( | 76.75% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( | 30.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( | 27.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( | 63.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.69% |