La Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Randy Nteka 14' goal
  • Pathe Ciss 69' yellowcard
  • Gerard Gumbau 76' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Garcia 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Oihan Sancet 65'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 78'

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Nov 24, 2024 3.15pm
Sevilla 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oihan Sancet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 32.49% (+0.40)
Draw 28.24% (-0.04)
Athletic Bilbao 39.27% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.67% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.54% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 59.45% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 20.18% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 79.82% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 8.44% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 91.56% (-0.10)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 33.82% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 29.51% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 70.49% (-0.43)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 70.52% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.48% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 34.51% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 65.48% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 32.48%
Draw 28.24%
Athletic Bilbao 39.26%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.8% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.16% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.86% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.59% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.12% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.97% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.24%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 12.17% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.26%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Miguel Crespo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 44'
  • goal Nico Williams 67'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Daniel Vivian 6' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 23' goal
  • Alfonso Espino 47' goal
  • Inaki Williams 64' goal
  • Nico Williams 68' goal
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 32'
  • yellowcard Radamel Falcao 87'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 14' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 28' goal
  • Nico Williams 33' goal
  • goal Oscar Trejo 5'
  • goal Radamel Falcao 80'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Unai Lopez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 17'
  • goal Nico Serrano 30'
  • yellowcard Oier Zarraga 60'
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 69'
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 82'
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 86'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 88'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2021 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Unai Nunez 16' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 33' goal
  • Iker Muniain 56' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 5'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 7'
  • yellowcard Sergi Guardiola 42'
  • yellowcard Nikola Maras 83'
  • goal Radamel Falcao 90'+6'