Europa League
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Adama Boiro Boiro 6' goal
  • Inaki Williams 22' yellowcard
  • Benat Prados 24' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 54' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Buhari 30'

Athletic Bilbao vs Elfsborg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 5.45pm
Ludogorets 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 7, 2024 5.45pm
Elfsborg 1 - 1 Braga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 58.13% (-0.18)
Draw 23.26% (-0.05)
Elfsborg 18.61% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.36% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 50.64% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 27.45% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 72.55% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 12.95% (+0.32)
Under 4.5 87.05% (-0.31)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 82.85% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 17.15% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 52.61% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 47.39% (-0.22)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5 58.73% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 41.27% (-0.59)
Over 1.5 22.2% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 77.8% (-0.51)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 58.12%
Draw 23.25%
Elfsborg 18.61%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 58.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.25%
Elfsborg
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.89% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.27% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 18.61%