La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 7, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Mamardashvili (52'), Gasiorowski (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ciss (7')
Nteka (52'), Isi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Ejea 1-3 Valencia
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Unionistas 2-3 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, December 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
37.93% ( 0.11)	28.6% ( -0.03)	33.47% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 45.86% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.45% (

0.09)

60.55% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

0.07)

80.66% (

-0.06)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

0.11)

30.82% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

0.13)

67.1% (

-0.12)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0)

33.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.01)

70.37% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Valencia 37.92%

Rayo Vallecano 33.47%

Draw 28.58%

Valencia	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.92%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.47%