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La Liga

Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames Barria
Villarreal logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Villarreal

Paredes (15'), Williams (69')
Sancet (55'), Prados (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Comesana (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Pontevedra 1-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
42.68% (0.025999999999996 0.03)26.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)30.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.41% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.46% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.08% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)69.67% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 42.67%
    Villarreal 30.4%
    Draw 26.92%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

Athletic Bilbao
69.5%
Draw
24.8%
Villarreal
5.7%
105
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Villarreal
Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')
Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Moreno (86'), Sorloth (87')
Gabbia (19'), Albiol (72'), Mandi (74'), Femenia (76')
Ruiz de Galarreta (2'), Williams (22'), Williams (30')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (44'), Garcia (89'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+2')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Villarreal
5-1
Athletic Bilbao
Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)
Capoue (1'), Parejo (45'), Torres (45+3'), Pedraza (58')
Sancet (45+3' pen.)
Paredes (54'), Herrera (54'), Williams (68')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Villarreal
Williams (59')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Villarreal
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pedraza (60')
Pedraza (50'), Mandi (81')
Garcia (43')
Petxarroman (85'), Garcia (90'), Sancet (90+1')
> Preview