La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
2 - 2
Girona

Barry (23'), Baena (46')
Cardona (40'), Marcelino (82'), Albiol (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van de Beek (66'), Krejci (90+7')
Krejci (18'), Gil (31'), Gutierrez (90+3'), van de Beek (90+3'), Blind (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal
Sunday, November 24 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Girona
Wednesday, November 27 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Girona
45.81% ( 1.29)	24.3% ( -0.2)	29.89% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

0.37)

44.4% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

0.36)

66.77% (

-0.36)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

0.7)

19.52% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59% (

1.14)

51.41% (

-1.14)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

-0.54)

27.95% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

-0.69)

63.58% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 45.81%

Girona 29.89%

Draw 24.29%

Villarreal	Draw	Girona
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.89%