Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.