Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Villarreal |
| 33.4% ( | 25.7% ( | 40.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( | 49.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( | 71.33% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( | 28.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( | 63.74% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.4% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.9% |