La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
2 - 5
Villarreal

Cisse (6'), Raba (33' pen.)
Altimira (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Barry (16', 45+2' pen., 65'), Moreno (90+2' pen.), Cabanes De La Torre (90+8')
Pino (58'), Barry (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Leganes
Sunday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Villarreal
23.68% ( 0.03)	25.68% ( 0.05)	50.64% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58% (

-0.14)

54.42% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21% (

-0.12)

75.79% (

0.12)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.8% (

-0.05)

38.2% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.04% (

-0.05)

74.96% (

0.05)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-0.09)

21.52% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

-0.14)

54.59% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Leganes 23.68%

Villarreal 50.63%

Draw 25.67%

Leganes	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.68%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.63%