Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.