Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
| 20.72% ( | 23.59% ( | 55.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( | 49.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( | 71.32% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( | 38.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( | 17.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( | 48.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 2-1 @ 5.4% ( 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 3-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.72% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-3 @ 5.89% ( 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-4 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 55.68% |