Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 73.28% ( | 17.25% ( | 9.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( | 44.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( | 67.09% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% ( | 10.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.36% ( | 34.64% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.33% ( | 51.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.22% ( | 85.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-0 @ 13.8% ( 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 3-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 4-0 @ 5.74% ( 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.27% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 3.01% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 17.25% | 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.47% |