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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Venezia

Napoli
1 - 0
Venezia

Raspadori (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Altare (31'), Stankovic (74'), Idzes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawVenezia
71.57% (0.13200000000001 0.13)17.55% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)10.88% (-0.089 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)41.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)64.27% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)10.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)33.9% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53% (-0.189 -0.19)46.99% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.52% (-0.141 -0.14)82.48% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 71.56%
    Venezia 10.88%
    Draw 17.55%
NapoliDrawVenezia
2-0 @ 12.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.45% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.35% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.56%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.55%
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 10.88%

How you voted: Napoli vs Venezia

Napoli
84.8%
Draw
13.6%
Venezia
1.5%
66
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Venezia
0-2
Napoli

Busio (76'), Ceccaroni (88')
Ebuehi (90+5')
Osimhen (59'), Petagna (90+10')
Rui (74'), Lobotka (83')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Napoli
2-0
Venezia
Insigne (62' pen.), Elmas (73')
Spalletti (47'), Fabian (52')
Osimhen (23')

Fiordilino (12'), Caldara (30'), Heymans (38'), Ebuehi (45+1'), Forte (50'), Ceccaroni (61'), Tessmann (75')
rhs 2.0


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