Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Giacomo Raspadori 79' goal
  • yellowcard Giorgio Altare 31'
  • yellowcard Filip Stankovic 74'
  • yellowcard Jay Idzes 90'+5'

Napoli vs Venezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2024 5.00pm
Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Venezia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 2.00pm
Venezia 2 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 10.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Napoli 71.57% (+0.14)
Draw 17.55% (-0.05)
Venezia 10.88% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.5% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.13% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.87% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.81% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 81.18% (+0.03)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 89.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 10.38% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 66.1% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 33.9% (-0.06)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5 53% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 46.99% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 17.52% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 82.48% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Napoli 71.56%
Draw 17.55%
Venezia 10.88%
Napoli
2-0 @ 12.51% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 11.05% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 9.45% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.35% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.42% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 71.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.55%
Venezia
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 10.88%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 6, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gianluca Busio 76' yellowcard
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 88' yellowcard
  • Tyronne Ebuehi 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Victor Osimhen 59'
  • yellowcard Mario Rui 74'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 83'
  • goal Andrea Petagna 90'+10'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Victor Osimhen 23' redcard
  • Luciano Spalletti 47' yellowcard
  • Fabian 52' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 62' goal
  • Eljif Elmas 73' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Fiordilino 12'
  • yellowcard Mattia Caldara 30'
  • yellowcard Daan Heymans 38'
  • yellowcard Tyronne Ebuehi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Francesco Forte 50'
  • yellowcard Pietro Ceccaroni 61'
  • yellowcard Tanner Tessmann 75'