Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.