Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 3
Napoli

Thauvin (23')
Atta (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukaku (50'), Gianetti (76' og.), Zambo Anguissa (81')
Politano (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Monday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Napoli
26.37% ( 0.34)	25.76% ( 0.02)	47.86% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

0.18)

52.72% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

0.15)

74.36% (

-0.15)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

0.38)

34.9% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

0.4)

71.64% (

-0.4)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.09)

22.03% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-0.13)

55.36% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Udinese 26.37%

Napoli 47.86%

Draw 25.76%

Udinese	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.37%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.86%