Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 1
Cagliari

Zampano (38'), Sverko (67')
Idzes (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pavoletti (76')
Wieteska (73'), Pavoletti (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Venezia
Saturday, December 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Cagliari
Tuesday, December 17 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Cagliari
52.12% ( 0.53)	24.54% ( -0.11)	23.34% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.72% (

0.04)

50.28% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.77% (

0.04)

72.23% (

-0.04)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73% (

0.23)

19.27% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49% (

0.37)

50.99% (

-0.37)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.79% (

-0.36)

36.21% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.01% (

-0.36)

72.99% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Venezia 52.11%

Cagliari 23.34%

Draw 24.54%

Venezia	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 23.34%