Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Cagliari
59.87% ( -0.01)	22.57% ( 0.22)	17.55% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-1.22)

49.44% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-1.11)

71.48% (

1.1)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

-0.42)

16.12% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.45% (

-0.77)

45.55% (

0.77)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.18% (

-0.98)

41.82% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.72% (

-0.87)

78.28% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Juventus 59.86%

Cagliari 17.55%

Draw 22.56%

Juventus	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 59.86%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.56%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.55%