Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.