Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.