Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 21, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 2
Napoli

Pinamonti (51')
Sabelli (62'), Frendrup (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zambo Anguissa (15'), Rrahmani (23')
Jesus (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-3 Napoli
Saturday, December 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Napoli
21.4% ( -0.08)	25.93% ( -0)	52.68% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 45.23% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.64% (

-0.07)

57.36% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

-0.05)

78.19% (

0.05)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.89% (

-0.11)

42.11% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47% (

-0.1)

78.54% (

0.1)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

0.01)

21.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89% (

0.01)

55.11% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Genoa 21.4%

Napoli 52.67%

Draw 25.92%

Genoa	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.4%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 14% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.67%