Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 4, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 3
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neres (29'), Lukaku (54' pen.), McTominay (68')
Di Lorenzo (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, December 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
46.54% ( -0.03)	24.96% ( 0.01)	28.5% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92% (

-0.03)

48.08% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75% (

-0.02)

70.25% (

0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

-0.02)

20.7% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

-0.04)

53.31% (

0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

30.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

67.07%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 46.54%

Napoli 28.5%

Draw 24.95%

Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.54%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.5%