Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Udinese

Kean (8' pen.)
Sottil (5'), Kouame (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucca (49'), Thauvin (57')
Zemura (38'), Kristensen (46'), Ehizibue (52'), Sava (73'), Lovric (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 9.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Udinese
74.51% ( 0.45)	16.27% ( -0.14)	9.21% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 45.46% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.93% (

-0.38)

41.06% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.54% (

-0.39)

63.45% (

0.38)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.55% (

0.01)

9.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.26% (

0.03)

31.74% (

-0.03)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.21% (

-0.91)

49.79% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.48% (

-0.65)

84.51% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 74.49%

Udinese 9.21%

Draw 16.27%

Fiorentina	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 74.49%	1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.27%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.21%