Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.