La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 19, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Duro (26')
Duro (87'), Mosquera (90+4'), Foulquier (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pacheco (42'), Lopez (49'), Gomez (89'), Zubimendi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Ourense CF 0-2 Valencia
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Sociedad
21.81% ( 0.27)	26.52% ( 0.01)	51.67% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 44.16% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.97% (

0.21)

59.03% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51% (

0.16)

79.49% (

-0.16)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.36% (

0.4)

42.65% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.01% (

0.34)

78.99% (

-0.34)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

-0.03)

23% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-0.05)

56.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Valencia 21.81%

Real Sociedad 51.66%

Draw 26.52%

Valencia	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.81%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 14.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.66%