La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 22, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 2
Alaves

Rioja (70' pen.), Gomez (90+8')
Mosquera (86'), Pepelu (90+12')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martin (7'), Jordan (88' pen.)
Martin (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Valencia
Wednesday, December 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Alaves
44.05% ( -0.69)	28.96% ( 0.01)	26.99% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 42.46% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.44% (

0.27)

63.56% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.13% (

0.19)

82.87% (

-0.19)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

-0.24)

28.8% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

-0.3)

64.65% (

0.3)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63% (

0.74)

40.37% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01% (

0.67)

76.99% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Valencia 44.05%

Alaves 26.98%

Draw 28.95%

Valencia	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 44.05%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.33% Total : 26.98%