/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Falalog.png)
-
Luis Rioja
70'
-
Cristhian Mosquera
86'
-
Dani Gomez
90'+8'
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Pepelu
90'+12'
-
Carlos Martin
7'
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Carlos Martin
22'
-
Joan Jordan
88'
Valencia vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fruben-baraja.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Valencia
44.05%
▼
(-0.70)
Draw
28.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Alaves
26.99%
▲
(+0.68)
Both Teams to Score:
42.46%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.44%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
63.56%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
17.13%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
82.87%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 4.5
6.74%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
93.26%
▼
(-0.11)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5
71.2%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
28.8%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
35.35%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
64.65%
▲
(+0.31)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5
59.63%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 0.5
40.37%
▼
(-0.75)
Over 1.5
23.01%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 1.5
76.99%
▼
(-0.67)
Score analysis
Valencia
44.05%
Draw
28.95%
Alaves
26.98%
Valencia
1-0
@
14.47%
▼
(-0.25)
2-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 44.05%
2-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 44.05%
Draw
1-1
@
13.12%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.95%
0-0 @ 11.62% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.95%
Alaves
0-1
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 26.98%
1-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 26.98%
Javi Lopez
87'