La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 15, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Jordan (67')
Blanco (54'), Tenaglia (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gomez (10')
Boiro Boiro (20'), Berchiche (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 2-2 Alaves
Sunday, December 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, December 11 at 3.30pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
30.08% ( -0.07)	29.28% ( -0.07)	40.63% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 43.12% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.51% (

0.22)

63.49% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.18% (

0.15)

82.82% (

-0.15)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

0.07)

37.79% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

0.06)

74.56% (

-0.06)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

0.19)

30.68% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

0.23)

66.93% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Alaves 30.08%

Athletic Bilbao 40.63%

Draw 29.28%

Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.08%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.63%