La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 8, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 2
Alaves

Budimir (54'), Garcia (61')
Budimir (3'), Torro (37'), Barja (45+1'), Oroz (90+6'), Moncayola (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kike (1', 68')
Abqar (23'), Tenaglia (37'), Blanco (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Ceuta 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Deportiva Minera 2-2 Alaves (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Alaves
43.04% ( -0.08)	27.94% ( 0.01)	29.02% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 46.23% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.61% (

59.38% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.23%

79.76% (

-0)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

-0.04)

27.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

-0.05)

62.79% (

0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63% (

0.05)

36.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

0.05)

73.15% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 43.03%

Alaves 29.01%

Draw 27.94%

Osasuna	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.01%