Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.