Copa del Rey | Second Round

Dec 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta
2 - 3
Osasuna

Redru (41'), Diez (69')
Juan Romero Gil (0'), Hernandez (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Budimir (84'), Garcia (87'), Redru (90+3' og.)
Hernandez (90+8')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Ceuta and Osasuna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

Last Game: Xerez 0-1 Ceuta
Wednesday, November 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Osasuna

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Ceuta	Draw	Osasuna
28.23% ( -1.37)	23.98% ( -0.45)	47.78% ( 1.81)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

1.19)

43.96% (

-1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.65% (

1.15)

66.35% (

-1.15)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.35)

28.88% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.44)

64.74% (

0.44)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46% (

1.22)

18.54% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.22% (

2.01)

49.78% (

-2.01)

Score Analysis

Ceuta 28.23%

Osasuna 47.78%

Draw 23.98%

Ceuta	Draw	Osasuna
2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.23%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.78%