Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
| 31.73% ( | 28.78% ( | 39.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.52% ( | 61.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.65% ( | 81.35% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( | 35.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( | 72.2% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( | 30.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( | 66.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 39.47% |