Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.