La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 5
Atletico

Perez (32')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Lenglet (26'), Alvarez (35'), De Paul (37'), Griezmann (52'), Sorloth (90+2')
Galan (41'), Simeone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-6 Atletico
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
21.09% ( -0.12)	25.5% ( -0.04)	53.4% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82% (

0.04)

56.17% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77% (

0.03)

77.23% (

-0.04)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25% (

-0.1)

41.75% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

-0.09)

78.21% (

0.08)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

0.08)

21.07% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.13)

53.89% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 21.09%

Atletico Madrid 53.38%

Draw 25.5%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.14% Total : 21.09%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 13.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 53.38%