Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Atletico Madrid
28.33% ( -0.05)	25.44% ( -0.02)	46.23% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.21% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

0.04)

50.21% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

0.03)

72.16% (

-0.03)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.02)

32.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

-0.02)

68.49% (

0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

0.04)

21.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

0.07)

54.88% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 28.33%

Atletico Madrid 46.22%

Draw 25.44%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.33%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.22%