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Jakub Pesek
66'
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Julian Alvarez
15'
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Marcos Llorente
43'
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Julian Alvarez
59'
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Pablo Barrios
67'
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Antoine Griezmann
70'
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Angel Correa
85'
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Angel Correa
89'
Sparta Prague vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Sparta Prague Goals
Atletico Madrid Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.33%
0-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
1-2 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.22%