Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 42.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.