Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 36.23% ( | 24.88% ( | 38.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( | 45.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( | 67.51% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( | 24.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( | 58.9% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( | 23.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( | 56.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.88% |