Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.