Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Europa FC had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Europa FC win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.