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Hugo Duro
27'
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Sergi Canos
69'
-
Stole Dimitrievski
78'
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Dani Ceballos
36'
-
Lucas Vazquez
78'
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Vinicius Junior
79'
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Luka Modric
85'
-
Luka Modric
87'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+5'
Valencia vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Valencia Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.37%
0-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.87%
1-2 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 48.76%
Head to Head
-
Roman Yaremchuk
4'
-
Hugo Duro
27'
-
Roman Yaremchuk
30'
-
Mouctar Diakhaby
83'
-
Vinicius Junior
45'+5'
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Vinicius Junior
72'
-
Vinicius Junior
76'
-
Federico Valverde
80'
-
Joselu
90'+10'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+10'
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Dani Carvajal
3'
-
Vinicius Junior
42'
-
Vinicius Junior
49'
-
Rodrygo
50'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
62'
-
Rodrygo
84'
-
Pepelu
34'
-
Dimitri Foulquier
56'
-
Gabriel Paulista
67'
-
Hugo Duro
88'
-
Diego Lopez
33'
-
Marco Asensio
52'
-
Vinicius Junior
54'
-
Karim Benzema
39'
-
Samuel Lino
46'
-
Casemiro
14'
-
Eder Militao
26'
-
Karim Benzema
43'
-
Vinicius Junior
52'
-
Vinicius Junior
61'
-
Ferland Mendy
75'
-
Karim Benzema
88'
-
Cristiano Piccini
51'
-
Yunus Musah
58'
-
Goncalo Guedes
76'
-
Denis Cheryshev
84'
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