La Liga Gameweek 18
Real Madrid
Dec 22, 2024 3.15pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Kylian Mbappe 10' goal
  • Federico Valverde 20' goal
  • Rodrygo 34' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 53' goal
  • Federico Valverde 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 12'
  • goal Isaac Romero 35'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 76'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 85'

Real Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
Sevilla 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 72.65% ▲ (+1.15)
Draw 16.42% ▼ (-0.31)
Sevilla 10.93% ▼ (-0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% ▼ (-1.91)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.71% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 2.5 36.28% ▲ (+0.96)
Over 3.5 41.59% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 58.41% ▲ (+1.06)
Over 4.5 23.43% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 4.5 76.57% ▲ (+0.87)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 91.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 8.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 70.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.91% ▼ (-0.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 56.81% ▼ (-2.10)
Under 0.5 43.19% ▲ (+2.10)
Over 1.5 20.55% ▼ (-1.81)
Under 1.5 79.45% ▲ (+1.81)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 72.64%
Draw 16.42%
Sevilla 10.93%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 11.19% ▲ (+0.54)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.44)
3-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.45)
3-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.22)
5-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.14)
5-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.13)
6-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 72.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 16.42%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 10.93%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 26
Real Madrid
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla
  • Lucas Vazquez 10' goal
  • Carlo Ancelotti 13' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 35' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 70'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Kouassi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sow 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Sevilla
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Madrid
  • David Alaba 74' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Jesus Navas 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 85' yellowcard
  • Boubakary Soumare 87' yellowcard
  • Erik Lamela 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Valverde 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 78'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 85'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Sevilla
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Real Madrid
  • Rafa Mir 3' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 29'
  • goal Rodrygo 69'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla
  • Luka Modric 5' goal
  • Lucas Vazquez 79' goal
  • Federico Valverde 81' goal
  • goal Erik Lamela 54'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Sevilla
Apr 17, 2022 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Ivan Rakitic 21' goal
  • Erik Lamela 25' goal
  • Anthony Martial 39' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 80' yellowcard
  • Oliver Torres 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 31'
  • goal Rodrygo 50'
  • yellowcard Nacho 78'
  • goal Nacho 82'
  • goal Karim Benzema 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mariano 90'+9'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
Nov 28, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Sevilla
  • Karim Benzema 32' goal
  • Toni Kroos 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 69' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 87' goal
  • Casemiro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Rafa Mir 12'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 34'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ocampos 84'

Form Data

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Pachuca
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 3 Real Madrid
Atalanta 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Getafe
Sevilla 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Atletico 4 - 3 Sevilla
Olot 1 - 3 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 1 Osasuna
Sevilla 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Leganes 1 - 0 Sevilla

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups