Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.