La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 8, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
4 - 3
Sevilla

De Paul (10'), Griezmann (62', 90+4'), Lino (79')
Barrios (48'), Alvarez (72'), Galan (87'), Griezmann (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lukebakio (12'), Romero (32'), Sanchez (57')
Agoume (49'), Fernandez (67'), Niguez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cacereno 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Olot 1-3 Sevilla
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
55.73% ( 0.01)	23.09% ( -0.01)	21.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

0.01)

46.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

0.01)

68.88% (

-0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44% (

16.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.66% (

0.01)

46.33% (

-0.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

-0)

36.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

-0)

73% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.72%

Sevilla 21.18%

Draw 23.09%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.18%