Copa del Rey
Dec 5, 2024 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Principe Felipe
  • Alvaro Garcia Merencio 30' goal
  • Diego Nieves Castillo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jaime Sancho 82' yellowcard
  • Jaime Sancho 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 40'
  • redcard Diego Simeone 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 45'+3'
  • goal Clement Lenglet 83'
  • goal Adrian Perez Guerra 90'+2' (OG)
  • goal Julian Alvarez 90'+5'

Cacereno vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cacereno

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 11.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.51%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Cacereno 11.89% (+0.24)
Draw 21.67% (+0.56)
Atletico Madrid 66.44% (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.46% (-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.92% (-1.47)
Under 2.5 56.08% (+1.48)
Over 3.5 22.85% (-1.21)
Under 3.5 77.15% (+1.22)
Over 4.5 10.02% (-0.74)
Under 4.5 89.98% (+0.75)

Cacereno Goals

Over 0.5 45.89% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 54.1% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 12.66% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 87.34% (+0.31)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.8% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 16.2% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 54.31% (-1.40)
Under 1.5 45.69% (+1.40)

Score analysis

Cacereno 11.89%
Draw 21.67%
Atletico Madrid 66.43%
Cacereno
1-0 @ 5.38% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.65% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 8.77% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.67%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 15.95% (+0.49)
0-2 @ 14.51% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 8.81% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 5.41% (-0.20)
0-4 @ 4.01% (-0.20)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.43%