Copa del Rey | Second Round

Dec 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Principe Felipe

Cacereno
1 - 3
Atletico

Garcia Merencio (30')
Nieves Castillo (45+3'), Sancho (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lenglet (83'), Perez Guerra (90+2' og.), Alvarez (90+5')
Le Normand (40'), Azpilicueta (45+3')
Simeone (41')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Cacereno and Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cacereno

Last Game: Cacereno 2-1 Gimnastica
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Valladolid 0-5 Atletico
Saturday, November 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 11.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.51%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Cacereno	Draw	Atletico Madrid
11.89% ( 0.23)	21.67% ( 0.55)	66.44% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 38.46% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.92% (

-1.47)

56.08% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.85% (

-1.21)

77.15% (

1.21)

Cacereno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.89% (

-0.49)

54.1% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.66% (

-0.3)

87.34% (

0.31)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

-0.75)

16.2% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

-1.39)

45.69% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

Cacereno 11.89%

Atletico Madrid 66.43%

Draw 21.67%

Cacereno	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.89%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67%	0-1 @ 15.95% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 14.51% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 8.81% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 4.01% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.24% Total : 66.43%