Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Principe Felipe
Atletico Madrid logo

Cacereno
1 - 3
Atletico

Garcia Merencio (30')
Nieves Castillo (45+3'), Sancho (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lenglet (83'), Perez Guerra (90+2' og.), Alvarez (90+5')
Le Normand (40'), Azpilicueta (45+3')
Simeone (41')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Cacereno and Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cacereno

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Last Game: Cacereno 2-1 Gimnastica
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 0-5 Atletico
Saturday, November 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cacereno had a probability of 11.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.51%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Cacereno win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
CacerenoDrawAtletico Madrid
11.89% (0.233 0.23)21.67% (0.551 0.55)66.44% (-0.77600000000001 -0.78)
Both teams to score 38.46% (-0.763 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-1.468 -1.47)56.08% (1.474 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-1.205 -1.21)77.15% (1.212 1.21)
Cacereno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.89% (-0.491 -0.49)54.1% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.66% (-0.302 -0.3)87.34% (0.309 0.31)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.751 -0.75)16.2% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-1.391 -1.39)45.69% (1.398 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Cacereno 11.89%
    Atletico Madrid 66.43%
    Draw 21.67%
CacerenoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.222 0.22)
2-1 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.65% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.89%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.486 0.49)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.67%
0-1 @ 15.95% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 14.51% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
0-3 @ 8.81% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 5.41% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-4 @ 4.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.43%

How you voted: Cacereno vs Atletico

Cacereno
7.0%
Draw
2.3%
Atletico Madrid
90.7%
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