FIFA Intercontinental Cup | Final

Dec 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

Lusail Iconic Stadium

Real Madrid
3 - 0
Pachuca

Mbappe (37'), Rodrygo (53'), Junior (84' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedraza (51'), Rondon (90+3')

Reaction

Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham on December 18, 2024

Real Madrid hit with fresh injury concern as Jude Bellingham 'suffers thigh issue' against Pachuca

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham reportedly suffered a thigh issue during his side's FIFA Intercontinental Cup win over Pachuca on Wednesday.

Dec 19, 13:03

Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on August 25, 2024

Legendary Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti makes history in FIFA Intercontinental Cup success

Carlo Ancelotti becomes the most successful manager in Real Madrid's history courtesy of the team's 3-0 victory over Mexican outfit Pachuca in the final of the FIFA Intercontinental Cup.

Dec 18, 20:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, December 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Pachuca

All competitions

FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Al Ahly (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, December 14 at 5pm in FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Pachuca win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Pachuca
66.68% ( -0.72)	18.44% ( 0.09)	14.87% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 56.76% (

1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.05% (

1.02)

35.95% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.96% (

1.11)

58.04% (

-1.11)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01% (

0.1)

9.99% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67% (

0.24)

32.99% (

-0.24)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

1.5)

36.94% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

1.47)

73.73% (

-1.47)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 66.68%

Pachuca 14.87%

Draw 18.44%

Real Madrid	Draw	Pachuca
2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.14% Total : 66.68%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.44%	1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.15% Total : 14.87%