FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Dec 18, 2024 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lusail Iconic Stadium
  • Kylian Mbappe 37' goal
  • Rodrygo 53' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Pedraza 51'
  • yellowcard Salomon Rondon 90'+3'

Real Madrid vs Pachuca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Pachuca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Pachuca win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Real Madrid 66.68% (-0.73)
Draw 18.44% (+0.09)
Pachuca 14.87% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.76% (+1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.05% (+1.02)
Under 2.5 35.95% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 41.96% (+1.12)
Under 3.5 58.04% (-1.12)
Over 4.5 23.74% (+0.92)
Under 4.5 76.26% (-0.91)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.01% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 9.99% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 67% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 32.99% (-0.24)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 63.06% (+1.51)
Under 0.5 36.94% (-1.51)
Over 1.5 26.27% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 73.73% (-1.47)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 66.68%
Draw 18.44%
Pachuca 14.87%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.40)
3-0 @ 7.52% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 7.49% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.33% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.31% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.73% (+0.17)
4-2 @ 2.15% (+0.11)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.13%
Total : 66.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.46% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.44%
Pachuca
1-2 @ 4.21% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 3.67% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.83% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 14.87%

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