Liga MX | Gameweek 15

Nov 3, 2024 at 3.06am UK

Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
6 - 2
Necaxa

Rondon (12', 12', 29', 29', 61', 61'), Idrissi (54', 54'), Lopez (85', 85'), Gonzalez (87', 87')
Idrissi (68'), Idrissi (68')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Cambindo (58', 58', 66', 66')
Monreal (19'), Monreal (19'), Cambindo (26'), Cambindo (26')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Pachuca
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Necaxa
49.65% ( -0.5)	24.55% ( 0.34)	25.81% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82% (

-1.3)

48.18% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

-1.21)

70.34% (

1.21)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

-0.71)

19.44% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72% (

-1.17)

51.28% (

1.17)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

-0.56)

32.94% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49% (

-0.63)

69.52% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 49.64%

Necaxa 25.81%

Draw 24.54%

Pachuca	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.64%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.81%