Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 2
Tijuana

Palavecino (34' pen., 34' pen.)
Rosero (9'), Rosero (9'), Fentanes (10'), Fentanes (10'), Arce (50'), Arce (50'), Montes (81'), Montes (81')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Rivera (28' pen., 28' pen.), Castaneda (43', 43')
Reynoso (19'), Reynoso (19'), Blanco (45+6'), Blanco (45+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Pachuca
Saturday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
49.4% (0.015999999999998 0.02)24.71%25.89% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)48.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)70.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)33.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)69.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 49.4%
    Club Tijuana 25.89%
    Draw 24.7%
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.24%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.89%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 4.10am
Gameweek 14
Tijuana
2-3
Necaxa
Gonzalez (45+3'), Blanco (74')
Blanco (72'), Diaz (72'), Rivera (78')
Cambindo (38'), Paradela (85' pen., 90+1')
Montes (28'), Cambindo (36'), Rodriguez (62')
Jul 8, 2023 4am
Gameweek 2
Necaxa
1-1
Tijuana
Montes (90+1')
Esquivel (24'), Mendez (42'), Garnica (45+2'), Poggi (55'), Gonzalez (81')
Gonzalez (73')
Madrigal (15'), Vega (45+4'), Barbosa (57')
Feb 4, 2023 1am
Gameweek 5
Necaxa
1-1
Tijuana
Sep 19, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 15
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Lertora (45+5')
Garcia (34')
Feb 19, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Ferreyra (57')
Garcia Banuelos (69')
rhs 2.0


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