Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
1 - 0
Mazatlan

Castaneda (6', 6')
Blanco (90+2'), Blanco (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Meraz (89'), Meraz (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Tijuana
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, September 22 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Tijuana in this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawMazatlan
55.22% (-0.32 -0.32)22.86% (0.036000000000001 0.04)21.92% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.03% (0.276 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (0.176 0.18)44.72% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.168 0.17)67.09% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.047999999999988 -0.05)16.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.56% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)45.44% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.36500000000001 0.37)34.44% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (0.388 0.39)71.15% (-0.38900000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 55.22%
    Mazatlan 21.92%
    Draw 22.86%
Club TijuanaDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
2-0
Tijuana
Amarilla (41'), Bello (90+2')
Maduena (40')

Castaneda (43'), Madrigal (68'), Zuniga (71')
Aug 26, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
1-1
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (25')
Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (52'), Armenta (76')
Amarilla (13')
Merolla (3'), Esquivel (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 15
Mazatlan
1-2
Tijuana
Diaz (25' og.)
Jul 31, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
2-0
Mazatlan
Vargas (55' og.), Guzman (73')
Lertora (65'), Lopez (79'), Diaz (80')

Sanchez (16'), Vargas (33'), (82')
Feb 12, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Mazatlan
2-0
Tijuana
Benedetti (43'), Meraz (88')
Nogueira (14'), Rubio (82')

Tercero (39'), Rodriguez (57'), Montecinos (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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