Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Club Tijuana
60.29% ( 0.07)	20.38% ( -0.04)	19.33% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.48% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.07% (

0.15)

36.92% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.89% (

0.16)

59.1% (

-0.16)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.08% (

0.06)

11.92% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.72% (

0.14)

37.28% (

-0.14)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

0.06)

32.47% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

0.07)

68.99% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Toluca 60.29%

Club Tijuana 19.33%

Draw 20.38%

Toluca	Draw	Club Tijuana
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.25% Total : 60.29%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.38%	1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.33%