Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Sep 1, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
1 - 2
Toluca

Vazquez (54' pen., 54' pen.)
Medina (90+8'), Berterame (90+11'), Medina (90+8'), Berterame (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gallardo (6', 6'), Violante (87', 87')
Ruiz (59'), Ruiz (59'), Baeza (80'), Baeza (80'), Volpi (90+11'), Volpi (90+11')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey
Saturday, August 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, August 25 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
MonterreyDrawToluca
49.02% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)23.56% (0.068999999999999 0.07)27.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.292 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)42.61% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.362 -0.36)65.01% (0.366 0.37)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)17.53% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.94% (-0.246 -0.25)48.06% (0.25 0.25)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)28.76% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.287 -0.29)64.6% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 49.02%
    Toluca 27.42%
    Draw 23.56%
MonterreyDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 27.42%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2024 2.10am
Gameweek 7
Monterrey
0-0
Toluca
Garcia (71'), Baeza (80')
Aug 31, 2023 2am
Gameweek 5
Toluca
1-0
Monterrey
Dominguez (26')
Garcia (9')

Vegas (30'), Gallardo (90+6'), Meza (90+5')
Feb 6, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (17', 31')
Araujo (62')
Aug 18, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Fernandez (38'), Ortega (59')
Vegas (23'), Reyes (31'), Meza (73')
Apr 7, 2022 1am
Gameweek 4
Toluca
2-2
Monterrey
Fernandez (90+10' pen.)
Huerta (12'), Ortega (42'), Rodriguez (89')

Vegas (29'), Janssen (45+2'), Aguirre (90+6'), Montes (90+9')