Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Aug 17, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Monterrey

Ormeno (82')
Orona (40'), Ferrareis (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berterame (37'), Canales (55')
Cortizo (26'), Andrada (84'), Medina (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Puebla
Thursday, August 1 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Puebla win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawMonterrey
15.4% (-0.71 -0.71)19.63% (-0.249 -0.25)64.97% (0.95999999999999 0.96)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.49% (-0.265 -0.27)40.51% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.11% (-0.274 -0.27)62.89% (0.276 0.28)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-1.07 -1.07)39.14% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-1.016 -1.02)75.85% (1.018 1.02)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.182 0.18)11.72% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.15% (0.391 0.39)36.85% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 15.4%
    Monterrey 64.97%
    Draw 19.63%
PueblaDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.4%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.63%
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 7.53% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.04% (0.163 0.16)
1-4 @ 3.79% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.73% (0.082 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.62% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.97%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 3am
Gameweek 1
Monterrey
2-0
Puebla
Gonzalez (51'), Berterame (90+4')

Gonzalez (65'), Angulo (82'), de Buen (90')
Oct 4, 2023 2am
Gameweek 11
Puebla
1-1
Monterrey
Martinez (4')
Olmedo (87')
Funes Mori (30')
Cortizo (26'), Govea (40'), Vegas (45+1')
Jan 28, 2023 1.05am
Jul 27, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
1-0
Puebla
Martinez (82'), Maia (85')
Feb 19, 2022 1am