Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Club Leon

Puebla
2 - 2
Club Leon

Cavallini (13', 13', 90+1' pen., 90+1' pen.)
Ferrareis (60'), Ferrareis (60'), de Buen (72'), de Buen (72')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cadiz (26', 26', 87', 87')
Cadiz (87'), Cadiz (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 0-0 Pachuca
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PueblaDrawClub Leon
31.05% (-0.964 -0.96)24.26% (-0.217 -0.22)44.69% (1.18 1.18)
Both teams to score 58.76% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.591 0.59)43.66% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (0.575 0.57)66.05% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)26.82% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.424 -0.42)62.11% (0.423 0.42)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.758 0.76)19.7% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (1.217 1.22)51.7% (-1.218 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 31.05%
    Club Leon 44.69%
    Draw 24.25%
PueblaDrawClub Leon
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.112 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.166 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.69%

How you voted: Puebla vs Club Leon

Puebla
33.3%
Draw
37.0%
Club Leon
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 1am
Gameweek 12
Club Leon
2-1
Puebla
Medina (2'), Guerra (46')
Tesillo (50')
Ormeno (83')
Cavallini (49'), Olmedo (49'), Ferrareis (65'), de Buen (84'), Carabajal (88')
Nov 4, 2023 3am
Gameweek 16
Puebla
5-4
Club Leon
Martinez (19', 51', 83'), De Buen (79'), Sansores (90+3')
Martinez (15'), Carbajal (16'), Ferrareis (30'), Velasco (43'), Olmedo (55'), Sansores (90+9')
Vinas (10', 45+1'), Lopez (45'), Fernandez (90+1')
Tesillo (78'), Romero (90+8')
Feb 15, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Club Leon
2-0
Puebla
Di Yorio (64')
Jul 16, 2022 1am
Gameweek 3
Puebla
1-1
Club Leon
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 14
Club Leon
0-1
Puebla

Tesillo (18'), Barreiro (28'), Colombatto (64')
Hernandez (3')
Aristeguieta (43')
Salas (34'), Segovia (45+1'), Herrera Rodriguez (62'), Reyes (63'), Aristeguieta (69'), Parra (73'), (90+6')
Parra (77'), Vazquez (90+3')