Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Club Leon

Pumas
1 - 0
Club Leon

Quispe (68', 68')
Ergas (90+4'), Ergas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guerra (72'), Guerra (72')
Medina (64'), Medina (64')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-4 Pumas
Saturday, April 6 at 2am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 0-2 Queretaro
Sunday, April 7 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.

Result
PumasDrawClub Leon
51.23% (-0.128 -0.13)23.75% (0.044 0.04)25.02% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (-0.123 -0.12)45.42% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (-0.118 -0.12)67.75% (0.116 0.12)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)17.76% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (-0.165 -0.16)48.45% (0.163 0.16)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)68.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 51.23%
    Club Leon 25.02%
    Draw 23.75%
PumasDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 25.02%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Club Leon
1-1
Pumas
Rodriguez (59')
Romero (2'), Frias (68')
Fernandez (44')
Ergas (28'), Tabo (90+4')
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Pumas
4-1
Club Leon
Del Prete (9'), Diogo (45+4'), Dinenno (59', 87')
Di Yorio (27')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 2
Club Leon
3-3
Pumas
Feb 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Pumas
2-1
Club Leon
Rogerio (24'), Ortiz (45+2')
Meritao (62'), Corozo (90+1')
Mozo (82')
Colombatto (20')
Martinez (51')
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Gameweek 14
Club Leon
1-2
Pumas

Barreiro (28'), Tesillo (59')
Garcia (88')
Galindo (25'), Lira (50'), Lopez (63'), Velarde (79'), Talavera (82')