Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
4 - 1
Puebla

Palavecino (11', 11'), Cambindo (15', 15', 52', 52'), Rosero (76', 76')
Arce (36'), Arce (36'), Paradela (80'), Paradela (80')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Duran (87', 87')
Manuel De la Torre (37'), Manuel de la Torre Menchaca (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Puebla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna
Friday, July 5 at 11.45pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawPuebla
46.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03)25.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.58% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)71.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (0.013000000000005 0.01)54.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)31.73% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)68.16% (0.029000000000011 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 46.42%
    Puebla 28.29%
    Draw 25.28%
NecaxaDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Puebla

Necaxa
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Puebla
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 1am
Gameweek 2
Puebla
1-2
Necaxa
Cavallini (59' pen.)
Olmedo (90+4')
Mendez (79'), Cambindo (83')
Arce (27'), Montes (56'), Colorado (81')
Oct 9, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Necaxa
1-2
Puebla
Mendez (55')
Jurado (33'), Garnica (83'), Arce (88'), Poggi (90+4')
Samudio (89')
Martinez (12'), De Buen (36')
Silva (41'), Velasco (60')
Apr 15, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 15
Necaxa
1-1
Puebla
Aug 17, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Puebla
2-2
Necaxa
Barragan (15'), Cortizo (64')
Batista (54'), Oliveros (83')
Apr 23, 2022 1am
Gameweek 16
Puebla
0-1
Necaxa
Mancuello (23'), Herrera Rodriguez (53'), Gularte (59'), Segovia (86')
Garcia (66'), Aguirre (84'), Formiliano (88'), Batista (90+2')