Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.