Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.